\magnification=1200 \baselineskip=20pt \nopagenumbers \font\big=cmr12 scaled \magstep2 \centerline{\bf STANFORD UNIVERSITY} \centerline{\bf DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS} \centerline{\big BERKELEY-STANFORD COLLOQUIUM} \bigskip \baselineskip=12pt \centerline{4:15 p.m., Tuesday, March 28, 2000} \centerline{Sequoia Hall Rm. 200} \centerline{(Cookies at 3:45 in 1st Floor Lounge)} \bigskip \baselineskip=15pt \centerline{\sl Erich Lehmann} \centerline{\sl UC Berkeley} \bigskip \centerline{\bf Intuition and theory: Some statistical examples} \bigskip The talk presents a number of examples in which intuitive arguments, although quite persuasive, nevertheless lead to incorrect conclusions. It points to the difficulty that has been experienced in such cases to abandon strongly held erroneous beliefs. \bye